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Thursday, September 08, 2016

Thursday's Results in Wall Street

#Subscriber Notes have been updated. Central bankers are running out of ammunition to keep the market lifting.

Tuesday, September 06, 2016

Countdown To A Top

The countdown to a top continues... now in the final phase.

Monday, September 05, 2016

Last Friday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Look to UVXY for direction Monday!

Wednesday, August 31, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. The usual lunar cycle high took place in the market. The next lunar cycle may not be so kind.

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Well, well, another day, another bounce. Does the market have another in store?

Sunday, August 28, 2016

Subscriber Notes updated on the website.

This is to inform you that subscriber notes has been updated on website.

Thursday, August 25, 2016

Updates in the subscriber notes section

updates in the subscriber notes section of the website have been made.

Wednesday, August 17, 2016

Today's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. The market showed strength today, but is it a flash-in-the-pan?

Today's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#Subscriber Notes has been updated on the website. Watch VXX for a breakout.

Tuesday, August 16, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

The market continued to advance using the oldest game in the book; the advance is getting long in the tooth and a correction is coming.

Thursday, August 11, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Today's extension may have extended the rally by a considerable period.

Wednesday, August 10, 2016

Today's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Equities are following the path of least resistance right now.

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Lead dog index continues its thrust rally.

Monday, August 08, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. VXX reverse-splits 4:1. Is this the only way the security can rally?

Sunday, August 07, 2016

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Trend still up in equities even though breadth is deteriorating.

Thursday, August 04, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. When a T becomes bearish. Is the Brexit crisis rearing its ugly head again?

Wednesday, August 03, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Short term trend turning up for equities now.

Tuesday, August 02, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. A look at the LT Wave and commodities today as equities falter.

Monday, August 01, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. The next low in volatility is likely to represent a major top in stocks.

VIdeo: Next leak will lead to arrest of Hillary Clinton – Assange

Americans Are Going to be Disappointed in Election Outcome

By Ron Paul

It is a sad commentary on the state of political life in the United States that our political conventions have become more like rock music festivals than competitions of ideas. There has been a great deal of bombast, of insults, of name-calling, and of chest-beating at both party conventions, but what is disturbingly absent is any mention of how we got to this crisis and how we can get out. From the current foreign policy mess to the looming economic collapse, all we hear is both party candidates saying they will fix it, no problem.

In her convention speech Hillary Clinton promised that she would “fight terrorism” and defeat ISIS by doing more of what we have been doing all along: bombing. In fact we have dropped more than 50,000 bombs on ISIS in Iraq and Syria over the past two years and all she can say is that she will drop more. How many more bombs will defeat ISIS? How many more years will she keep us in our longest war, Afghanistan? She doesn’t say.

In fact, the New York Times – certainly not hostile to the Clintons – wrote that it was almost impossible to fact-check Hillary’s speech because, “she delivered a speech that was remarkably without hard facts.”

Clinton’s top foreign policy advisor said just a day after her convention speech that her big plan for Syria was to go back to square one and concentrate on overthrowing its secular president. How many more thousands more will die if she gets her way? And won’t she eventually be forced to launch a massive US ground invasion that will also kill more Americans?

Clinton does not understand that a policy of endless interventionism has brought us to our knees and made us far weaker. Does she really expect us to be the policemen of the world with $20 trillion in debt?

Likewise, Republican candidate Donald Trump misses the point. He promises to bring back jobs to America without any understanding of the policies that led to their departure in the first place. Yes, he is correct that the middle class is in worse shape than when Obama took office, but not once did he mention how it happened: the destructive policies of the Federal Reserve. The financing of our warfare/welfare state through the printing of phony money. Distorted interest rates that encourage consumption and discourage saving and investment.

Trump tweeted this week that home ownership is at its lowest rate in 51 years. He promised that if elected he will bring back “the American dream.” He seems to have no idea that home ownership is so low because the Fed-created housing bubble exploded in 2007-2008, forcing millions of Americans who did not have the means to actually purchase a home to lose their homes. Not a word about the Fed from Trump.

How are these candidates going to fix the problems we face in America if they have absolutely no idea what caused the problems? No matter who is elected, Americans are going to be very disappointed in the outcome. The warfare/welfare state is going to proceed until we are bankrupt. There is hope, however. It is up to us to focus on the issues, to focus on educating ourselves and others, and to demand that politicians listen.

Copyright © 2016 by RonPaul Institute. Permission to reprint in whole or in part is gladly granted, provided full credit and a live link are given.

Scott Adams on Persuasion

Scott Adams has been writing about Master Persuasion skills, explaining why Donald Trump will win the presidency in a landslide this November. In this article he links to four articles “I know you will enjoy if you have been following my writing on Trump’s persuasion skills, confirmation bias, and hypnosis.”

Sunday, July 31, 2016

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Today, we look at when an intermission in the bull trend could start.

Thursday, July 28, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. We examine price and time targets for the thrust rally in NASDAQ.

Wednesday, July 27, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Is a Black Hole coming in the stock market?

Tuesday, July 26, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. New highs in price and money flow confirms uptrend in equities.

The Remarkable Inconsistency Of Climate Denial

Climate Denial should be categorized as the equivalent to yelling Fire! in a crowded theater. But, free speech is still honored in the USA and we continue to allow those whose only goal seems to be to doom our species to extinction to confuse the issue with mindless blather. Adam Frank writes about deniers in The Remarkable Inconsistency Of Climate Denial.:

Nowhere is the gap between opinions and facts more apparent than the subject of climate change. As a recent action by the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) demonstrates, for climate deniers there is a chasm between what is said and what is done.

The basic dilemma of climate denial is that, for decades, science has pointed to two very clear conclusions. First is the overwhelming evidence that the planet is warming. Second is the overwhelming evidence that the warming is due to human activity (mostly in the form of greenhouse gas emissions from fossil fuel use).

The truth of these claims is getting bolded and underlined as 2016 is on track to be the hottest recorded year ever for the planet. The last hottest year on record was 2015 (you know you're in trouble if the hottest year ever is always this one now). In addition to the temperature records, every climate observatory in the world is now recording CO2 greenhouse gas levels higher than any time in the last 4 million years.

In the face of these facts, climate denialists claim that the science is somehow mistaken or it's a deliberate hoax. So where exactly is their inconsistency? To understand the break between actions and words, consider a June 28 letter to Congress sent by the AAAS and 30 of the nation's scientific organizations urging action on climate change:

"Observations throughout the world make it clear that climate change is occurring, and rigorous scientific research concludes that the greenhouse gases emitted by human activities are the primary driver. This conclusion is based on multiple independent lines of evidence and the vast body of peer-reviewed science."

So which of the nation's scientific organizations are we talking about here? Some were big and others were small, but let's begin with the AAAS. These are the folks who help maintain the U.S.'s preeminent effort in science and technology. If you are using something scientific or technological, they're the ones pushing for the research efforts supporting it.

Beyond the AAAS, here is a partial list of the other organizations on the letter:

  • American Meteorological Society
  • Crop Science Society of America
  • American Geophysical Union
  • American Institute of Biological Sciences
  • American Public Health Association
  • Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
  • Soil Science Society of America

Just these seven names are enough to expose the problem for climate denialists. If climate science is hoax and the Crop Science Society of America signed the letter, then doesn't that make crop science suspect, too? And, of course, you can't have modern, advanced agriculture without understanding soil. That's the domain of the Soil Science Society of America. They've signed on to the AAAS letter, too. But that must mean we shouldn't trust any of their claims about how to grow food. Then there's the American Meteorological Society. If they are urging Congress to take action on climate change, it must mean they and their science is corrupted as well. If that were the case, then we would do well to ignore things like their hurricane warnings.

Of course, ignoring warnings of an impending hurricane — the result of meteorological science — would be stupid. No one in their right mind would do it. But that is the point, isn't it? Those who espouse climate denial say one thing and then act in an entirely different way if someone tells them a hurricane is coming. Why? Because it would be crazy to do otherwise.

Climate denialists, like everyone else, enjoy the fruits of science. But it's only when those fruits run up against pre-conceived political antagonisms that the cognitive dissonance begins.

When climate denialists get sick, they go to the doctor. They use the results of medical science. But to do so, they must ignore this from the AMA:

"The American Medical Association is working to ensure that physicians and others in health care understand the rise in climate-related illnesses and injuries so they can prepare and respond to them."

When climate denialists need to stay cool in the summer, they use the fruits of chemistry as it manifests in new kinds of refrigerants/coolants. But that means they must also ignore those same chemists who have this to say about climate science,

"...comprehensive scientific assessments of our current and potential future climates clearly indicate that climate change is real, largely attributable to emissions from human activities."

Monday, July 25, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. VIX drove the equity market down, then up, today.

Sunday, July 24, 2016

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Stocks have a canary in the coal mine and it's the Semiconductor Index.

Friday, July 22, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Sell signals in equities across the board. The seasonal top may be in.

Wednesday, July 20, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Crushing volatility sends buyers flocking back into equities once again.

Tuesday, July 19, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Short term correction looms for stocks.

Monday, July 18, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Seasonals tell us to look for equities to form a short term top and pull back this week.

Sunday, July 17, 2016

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes #WeekendAnalysis have been updated on the website. Short term bears should win this week, but longer term bulls have an opportunity to buy.

Thursday, July 14, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. The Dow at new highs is very extended; put buyers could send stocks tumbling.

Wednesday, July 13, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. It's a tired equity market, but the trend should remain up despite a pullback.

Tuesday, July 12, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Traders love to sell equities short at new highs. But, they are likely too early to profit.

Monday, July 11, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. The NASDAQ continues to present a scenario most traders don't accept.

Sunday, July 10, 2016

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. With the VIX Index bottoming and equity markets back to pre-Brexit highs, risk is increasing.

Saturday, July 09, 2016

The Bahamas’ new U.S. travel advisory: Use ‘extreme caution’ around police

The Bahamas have issued a travel advisory to those planning to visit the US: “We wish to advise all Bahamians traveling to the US but especially to the affected cities to exercise appropriate caution generally. In particular young males are asked to exercise extreme caution in affected cities in their interactions with the police. Do not be confrontational and cooperate.

The descent of the USA into chaos has been sickening for patriots. Now, we are being treated as a failed First World nation.

The Chinese point out that one difference between the US and China is that in China, you can argue with cops without getting shot (Chinese cops don't carry guns) whereas in the US, you risk your life doing so.

Friday, July 08, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. As equity investors relax and turn bullish, an ominous trendline draws near.

Wednesday, July 06, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. VIX continues to lift stocks as the Employment Report looms Friday morning.

Tuesday, July 05, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Today's late decline in VIX boosted equities toward, but not thru, buy signals.

Global Warming: It's Time To Give Up on Stopping It

Mankind knows it's something we don't want to see, but Global Warming has now become impossible for us to stop, as Damn the Matrix makes clear.

Geo-engineering may not be a great plan, but it's our only hope now. We need to capture CO2 from the atmosphere and bury it deep underground for a start. That will take out most of the catalyst for higher temperatures in the atmosphere, but it won't solve the problem of acidification of the oceans which is killing coral reefs around the world. For that, we need to grind up limestone and dissolve it in the oceans of the world to raise pH to offset acidification. That's the smart way to approach the problem.

Geo-engineering also has the potential to create a lot of jobs, something the economy hasn't been able to accomplish since the supposed end of the last recession.

Monday, July 04, 2016

We're Number Three, But Soon To Be Number Two Behind China

GTM Research reports good news. The US is the number three market in solar, behind Japan, but will become number two in 2016. China is the number one market for solar in the world currently. India is fourth.

Solar module prices are poised to fall to 55¢ per watt by yearend. As we have forecast, solar is on track to achieve a dominant position in supplying energy for mankind by the 2030s, if not sooner than that.

Fossil fuel phaseout will be happening rapidly in the next decade as the cost of keeping CO2-polluting power plants running will drop below the cost of replacing those plants with solar and wind units. This will not be forced by government decree, but rather by economic necessity.

Sunday, July 03, 2016

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes #WeekendUpdate have been updated on the website. Trend still up, but a key indicator should be watched for signs of an important trend change.

Thursday, June 30, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Rally in stocks continues, but could run into headwinds soon.

Wednesday, June 29, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. If Elliott Wave counting works, a very bullish outcome may be ahead.

Forget Brexit... Sunspot Exit May Be Much Worse

The sun goes blank as The latest solar image is completely spotless for the second time this month.

On June 4th, the sun went completely spotless for the first time since 2011 and that quiet spell lasted for about 4 days.  Sunspot regions then reappeared for the next few weeks on a sporadic basis, but are once again completely missing from the surface of the sun.  The blank sun is a sign that the next solar minimum is approaching and there will be an increasing number of spotless days over the next few years.  At first, the blankness will stretch for just a few days at a time, then it’ll continue for weeks at a time, and finally it should last for months at a time when the sunspot cycle reaches its nadir.  The next solar minimum phase is expected to take place around 2019 or 2020. The current solar cycle is the 24th since 1755 when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began and is the weakest in more than a century with the fewest sunspots since cycle 14 peaked in February 1906.

Tuesday, June 28, 2016

Turnaround Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. SKEW is hitting record highs as investors clamor for puts on SPX.

Monday, June 27, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Is Brexit "Much Ado About Nothing" for the USA?

Sunday, June 26, 2016

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Turnaround Tuesday could be on tap this week in stocks.

Friday, June 24, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Brexit wins, sends stocks plunging, bonds soaring.

Wednesday, June 22, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Brexit controls the market and investors are buying puts to protect their portfolios.

USDA is Absolutely Delusional on the State of the Corn Crop!

WeatherTrends360 is calling for hot and dry weather to send corn prices soaring this summer:

This blog is for the thousands of farmers in panic mode because the USDA is completely delusional on the health of the corn crop sending prices in a tail spin. First...STAY CALM...never do anything in a panic and don't sell the farm...prices will soar in the weeks ahead.

Second - the US GFS short range model has way over forecast cool and wet all June long and we're ending up with the hottest June in 22 years across the Corn Belt and rainfall 51% below average for the first 3 weeks so PLEASE DON'T BITE ON THE COLDER/WETTER PATTERN - very unlikely - and the Euro model agrees.

Third - we bought MORE Sept and Dec call options as there is little doubt we're headed for a scorching hot/dry Summer.

Let's go back to this date in 2012...the weather pattern is eerily similar as is the USDA's nonsense. At this point in the 2012 season all was good per USDA despite a hot/dry June and Corn prices were down 14% year-to-date as of middle June 2012. Here we go again!!!! Then we had the hottest/driest July in decades...wt360 projects the 2nd hottest/driest only to 2012 so hang in there...the rally will almost certainly explode in July!

Tuesday, June 21, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. One scenario that's unfolding would have a major high coming to equities in August.

Monday, June 20, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Investors continue to load up on put options, anticipating a crash in SPX.

Sunday, June 19, 2016

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. We'll update the #WeekendAnalysis of major markets later today.

Friday, June 17, 2016

EWI: How to Invest for Brexit

If you follow Europe's major financial news networks, you're no doubt inundated by all the rumor and conjecture surrounding the Brexit referendum -- it dominates the headlines.

Back across the pond, the Washington Post calls it the "most important vote in Europe in a half-century."

So will Great Britain exit the EU? If it does, what happens next? How do you separate fact from fiction, the signals from the noise? Is a Brexit bullish or bearish for Europe's already weak markets and economies? What about Great Britain's market and economy? How will it impact U.S. investors? Who stands to benefit the most? Who stands to lose the most?

And most important of all ... where does your money fit into the picture? How can you protect it? And are there any opportunities developing out of the turmoil?

Our friends at Elliott Wave International have answers for you in their new report, How to Invest for Brexit. And we've arranged it so that you can read this new report, by EWI Chief European Market Analyst Brian Whitmer, FREE.

Brian has been tracking EU break-up signs since forecasting the Union's coming unraveling as early as 2009, and he asks and answers investors' most pressing questions inside this new free report.

Get your free report now.

Thursday, June 16, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. The options expiration rally has finally arrived to pump stocks higher.

Wednesday, June 15, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Equities continue weak as out-of-the-money SPX put buying soars.

Tuesday, June 14, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. VIX topping out could be a bullish sign for equities.

Monday, June 13, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. VIX explodes, sending VXX soaring.

Sunday, June 12, 2016

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes #WeekendAnalysis reports have been updated on the website. Trend remains up, but a major buying opportunity likely ahead.

Thursday, June 09, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Time for the ramp up into expiration Friday?

Tuesday, June 07, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Are we seeing a sea change in equities?

Monday, June 06, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. The Fed was pumping up stocks to keep the Wealth Effect going today.

Sunday, June 05, 2016

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Soaring prices for food are a major investment opportunity now.

Thursday, June 02, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Why THE top in stocks could be in August or September, not now.

Wednesday, June 01, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. The equity trend turns to the downside.

Tuesday, May 31, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Tuesday Turnaround was alive and well in equities today.

Sunday, May 29, 2016

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes #WeekendAnalysis reports have been updated on the website. Equity uptrend is projected to continue by Ts.

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. A potentially large change-in-trend is close at hand in the markets.

Wednesday, May 25, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. A new bottoming channel for VIX urges traders to watch for potential CIT in equities.

Tuesday, May 24, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Volatility at a key crossroads here and will drive equities either up or down.

Monday, May 23, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Tuesday likely to be turnaround day in equities.

Sunday, May 22, 2016

Last week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. An equity cycle low is due, will the rally continue?

Thursday, May 19, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Has the dominant cycle bottomed in stocks?

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Lack of force to the downside suggests bears are running out of momentum.

Tuesday, May 17, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Rising volatility in equities is a warning to never abandon prudent money management.

Thursday, May 12, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. The equity market continues being driven by the direction of VIX, which turned higher today.

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. The equity market is being driven by the direction of VIX, which should be turning higher on a trend basis.

Tuesday, May 10, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. The VIX trend has been very good for XIV, but could change soon.

Monday, May 09, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Stocks likely to take a breather here, but could re-trigger a buy signal soon.

Sunday, May 08, 2016

We have updated our #WeekendAnalysis report on the website for subscribers.

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Stocks rebound as bears run out of gas.

Thursday, May 05, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Today's buy to cover shorts signal was quickly reversed as weakness continues in equities.

Wednesday, May 04, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Opportunity in Chinese Yuan coming up? China in trouble.

Tuesday, May 03, 2016

Scott Adams: "We can make this world as good as we want it"

Scott Adams told us what would happen to Trump last year:

I told you last year that Trump’s rise would change more than your opinion of politics. Trump’s successful use of persuasion will rewrite your entire understanding of reality. While you’re watching the trees, the entire forest is transforming. We’re right in the middle of the greatest awakening in the history of humankind.

We can make this world as good as we want it. We just don’t know it yet.

We’re almost there.


From Say Goodbye To Your Mind.

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. No Tuesday Turnaround today. Have the buyers gone on strike?

Monday, May 02, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. A bullish reversal appeared in a tech sector today, but NASDAQ remains bearish.

Sunday, May 01, 2016

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Sell in May and walk away? Or, trade for the short term trend?

Thursday, April 28, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. NASDAQ continues to drag the equity markets down.

Solar Power Update: Dominance in 12 Years

We've projected solar power to dominate the energy field in the next couple of decades and the trends remain right on track for that to happen. Ray Kurzweil explained it recently at a medical device trade show in Anaheim, California, written up in Solar Power World. Here are some salient points he made:

Explaining the accelerating rate of technical progress, Kurzweil said technical developments form very predictable trajectories, and those trajectories are exponential. Consider the progress of the computing industry, he said. He spoke about his cell phone, which he said is several billion times more powerful per dollar than the computer he used as an undergraduate at MIT.

“I went to MIT because it was so advanced that it actually had a computer in the late 1960s,” Kurzweil said. “It took up the floor of a building. Still, this cell phone is thousands of times more powerful, and million times less expensive. That’s a several billion-fold increase in price-performance. It’s also a tiny fraction of the size.”

Turning his attention to solar, Kurzweil said four years ago Google founder Larry Page and he were asked by the National Academy of Engineering to study emerging energy technologies. The men selected solar due to its exponential growth. Kurzweil said solar has been around for over 25 years, and its market share has doubled every two years.

“In 2012, solar panels were producing 0.5% of the world’s energy supply. Some people dismissed it, saying, ‘It’s a nice thing to do, but at a half percent, it’s a fringe player. That’s not going to solve the problem,’” Kurzweil said. “They were ignoring the exponential growth just as they ignored the exponential growth of the Internet and genome project. Half a percent is only eight doublings away from 100%.

“Now it is four years later, [and solar] has doubled twice again. Now solar panels produce 2% of the world’s energy, right on schedule. People dismiss it, ‘2%. Nice, but a fringe player.’ That ignores the exponential growth, which means it is only six doublings or [12] years from 100%.”

Two years ago Kurzweil presented this to the Prime Minister of Israel, he said, who had attended his class at the MIT Sloan School in the 1970s. Kurzweil said the prime minster asked him a question.

“Ray, do we have enough sunlight to do this with a doubling seven more times?’” Kurzweil recalled. He said he replied, “’Yes. After we double seven more times, and meeting 100% of the world’s energy needs, we’ll still be using only one part in 10,000 of the sunlight that we have.’”

“It’s not true we’re running out of energy,” Kurzweil said before moving on to another topic. “We’re only running out of resources if we stick with 19th century technologies.”

Wednesday, April 27, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. The path of least resistance for equities is up at this time of year.

Tuesday, April 26, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. The AAPL bomb went off after-hours, resulting in an 8% drop in the stock.

Monday, April 25, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Fear of Fed hiking rates sent stocks lower on Monday

Sunday, April 24, 2016

Last week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes #WeekendAnalysis have been updated on the website. Stocks still maintain an uptrend, but not in a bull market.

Thursday, April 21, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Expected weakness in stocks is likely only short term.

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Weakness in stocks should be only temporary here.

Tuesday, April 19, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Is IBM the canary in the coal mine, at least for tech stocks?

Monday, April 18, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Is oil resuming its bear market trend? It should act like the dog which caught the bus.

Sunday, April 17, 2016

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Later in the day, an update to our #WeekendAnalysis.

Friday, April 15, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. What will a rally in the dollar do to commodities?

Thursday, April 14, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Which leading index is due for an important change-in-trend on Monday?

Tuesday, April 12, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Stocks love it when the Fed buys them.

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Today's decline fits well with our seasonal pattern for a major opportunity coming up.

Sunday, April 10, 2016

Friday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. A significant seasonal change-in-trend is coming soon to the equity market.

Friday, April 08, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. A significant seasonal low appears to be setting up in the equity market.

Wednesday, April 06, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. What a bellwether stock is telling us about the economy.

Tuesday, April 05, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. The Fed continues to push asset prices with Fed Juice.

Monday, April 04, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Expected consolidation in equity doesn't preclude a higher high this week.

Sunday, April 03, 2016

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Seasonality tells us to expect taxday to be significant for the equity market.

Thursday, March 31, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Employment Report Friday dead ahead. Watch the market react to the report.

Wednesday, March 30, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Stocks remain on track for a significant top coming up in April.

Tuesday, March 29, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Yellen promises a rollback in rates if the economy continues to deteriorate.

Monday, March 28, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Stocks churn sideways, but the canaries in the coal mine are sick.

Saturday, March 26, 2016

The Current Bubble Bursts

Valeant Pharmaceuticals is the latest example of the bubbles on Wall Street. David Stockman describes it in A Scam Called Valeant—Why The Casino Is Going To Blow:

If you need evidence that Wall Street is a financial time bomb waiting for ignition look no further than the recent meltdown of Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX). In round terms, its market cap of $90 billion on August 5th has suddenly become the embodiment of that proverbial sucking sound to the south, having plunged to less than $12 billion by Wednesday’s close.

That’s nearly a 90% haircut and VRX was no microcap penny stock. It was a giant inhabitant of a hedge fund hotel.

Needless to say, the cliff-diving pattern in the graph below provides evidence that the ticking bombs in the casino are of the neutron variety. In this case, the hotel may be still standing but the inhabitants have been ionized. On a single day last week, hedge funds lost $5.3 billion in value.

Condign justice, some might say, for the likes of rank gamblers like William Ackman (Pershing Square) and Jeffrey Ubben (ValueAct Holdings) who lost $700 million each that day. The fact that they have successfully promoted themselves for so long as masters of the universe, however, is the real moral of the story.

The financial markets and media have been so corrupted by central bank bubble finance that they did not even recognize that Valeant was a monumental scam and that Ackman and Ubben are snake oil salesman in $5,000 suits. Presently it will become clear that the hedge fund hotels are heavily occupied by many more of the same.

Thursday, March 24, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Stock market rallies ahead of Easter for the 18th time in the last 18 years.

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Stocks tend to rally during Easter. Was today a setup for that rally?

Global Warming + Atlantic Cooling = UK Storms (Video)

Jason Box explains why the cold pool of water in the North Atlantic (caused by Greenland and Canadian ice melt) is causing storms in the U.K.:

Evolution of Government

Scott Adams explains how government has evolved from a republic to a form of social media in Social Media is the New Government. It's an important point and a nice change from what he calls “Economic Fascism” which is a form of government controlled by the very rich.

Monday, March 21, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Stocks staggered higher, but there's a better shorting opportunity right now in gold.

How Can Global CO2 Levels Soar When Emissions Are Flat?

Joe Romm writes in Climate Progress:

Last year saw the biggest jump in global CO2 levels ever measured, as NOAA reported on March 9. Yet in 2015 the world economy grew while energy-related CO2 emissions were flat — for the second year in a row — according to the International Energy Agency, as ClimateProgress reported last week.

This puzzled more than one reader. One emailed me the following: “the IEA is saying that emissions have gone flat, while, at the same time, NOAA is announcing that we just had the largest-ever jump in CO2 [levels]. Logic would seem to dictate that someone has their figures wrong. Flat emissions should not translate into record CO2 jumps.”

What’s going on? Two things:

  • Annual CO2 emissions are very different from global CO2 levels.
  • CO2 levels tend to have big jumps in El Niño years.

Let’s go through those two, especially since this discussion gets to the heart of what I call “the biggest source of confusion in the public climate discussion” in my recent book, “Climate Change: What Everyone Needs to Know.” It also goes to the heart of why delaying action is so dangerous and costly.

The CO2 Bathtub Analogy

Avoiding catastrophic warming requires stabilizing CO2 concentrations (or levels) in the atmosphere, not annual emissions. Studies find that many, if not most, people are confused about this, including highly informed people, mistakenly believing that if we stop increasing emissions, then global warming will stop. In fact, very deep reductions in greenhouse gas emissions are needed to stop global warming.

One study by MIT grad students found that “most subjects believe atmospheric GHG concentrations can be stabilized while emissions into the atmosphere continuously exceed the removal of GHGs from it.” The author, Dr. John Sterman from MIT’s Sloan School of Management, notes that these beliefs “support wait-and-see policies but violate conservation of matter” and are “analogous to arguing a bathtub filled faster than it drains will never overflow.”

BathtubEarthEPA

CREDIT: EPA

While atmospheric concentrations (the total stock of CO2 already in the air) might be thought of as the water level in the bathtub, emissions (the yearly new flow into the air) are the rate of water flowing into a bathtub from the faucet. There is also a bathtub drain, which is analogous to the so-called carbon “sinks” such as the oceans and the soils. The water level won’t drop until the flow through the faucet is less than the flow through the drain.

Similarly, carbon dioxide levels won’t stabilize until human-caused emissions are so low that the carbon sinks can essentially absorb them all. Under many scenarios, that requires more than an 80 percent drop in CO2 emissions. And if the goal is stabilization of temperature near or below the 2°C (3.6 °F) threshold for dangerous climate change that scientists and governments have identified, then CO2 emissions need to approach zero by 2100.

So the first key point is that CO2 levels will continue rising if we merely keep annual CO2 emissions flat. In fact, they will keep rising at a faster and faster rate because the land and ocean carbon sinks are weakening (see below).

The Temporary Impact Of El Niño

NOAA reported two weeks ago that the CO2 concentrations “measured at NOAA’s Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii jumped by 3.05 parts per million during 2015, the largest year-to-year increase in 56 years of research.” That is a big jump compared to the average annual rise at Mauna Loa from 2005 to 2014 of 2.11 ppm per year.

But the second-highest single-year growth rate for CO2 levels was back in 1998, which saw a jump of 2.93 ppm (whereas the average annual rise from 1995 to 2004 was 1.87 ppm per year).

You may notice a pattern here — big jumps during big El Niño years.

“El Niño years tend to be bad years for plant growth, due to things like widespread drought or other extreme weather,” Stefan Rahmstorf, co-chair of Earth System Analysis at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, explained in an email. “So the biosphere loses some carbon. You see that happening in 1998 as well. Below is a diagram from the AR5, you see from the squiggly line how variable the land sink is, it dominates interannual variability in the carbon budget.”

Annual manmade CO2 emissions and where they end up. The partitioning is between the ocean sink (dark blue), the atmosphere (light blue) and the land sink (green).

CREDIT: IPCC

A crucial point is that, based on actual observations and measurements, the world’s top carbon cycle experts have determined that the land and oceans are becoming steadily less effective at removing excess CO2 from the atmosphere, as I reported last year. This makes it more urgent for us to start cutting carbon pollution ASAP, since it will become progressively harder and harder for us to do so effectively in the coming decades.

In particular, the defrosting permafrost and the resultant release of CO2 and methane turns part of the land sink into a source of airborne greenhouse gases. Similarly, as global warming increases forest and peatland fires — burning trees and vegetation — that also turns one part of the land carbon sink into a source of atmospheric CO2. So does ever-worsening droughts that scientists are observing in the United States southwest and other parts of the world.

We are destroying nature’s ability to help us stave off catastrophic climate change. “Clearly nature is helping us” deal with atmospheric CO2 right now much more than it will be decades to come, as Dr. Josep (Pep) Canadell, executive director of the Global Carbon Project, told me last year. Ultimately this is one more reason why delaying action to cut carbon pollution is a costly and dangerous mistake.

Sunday, March 20, 2016

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. We will update our #WeekendAnalysis report later today.

Thursday, March 17, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Money managers expect recession, but can't afford to sit on the sidelines in cash.

Wednesday, March 16, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Why the precious metals bear market isn't over yet and what will signal it is.

Tuesday, March 15, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Consolidation was the name of the game today in equities.

Sunday, March 13, 2016

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes #WeekendAnalysis have been updated on the website. Seasonals are a big factor in the markets today.

Thursday, March 10, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Crazy volatility is a sure symptom of a top in overvalued/overbought equities.

Energy Storage Poised For a Breakthrough

“It doesn’t always rain when you need water, so we have reservoirs — but we don’t have the same system for electricity,” says Jill Cainey, director of the UK’s Electricity Storage Network. But that may change in 2016, with industry figures predicting a breakthrough year for a technology not only seen as vital to the large-scale rollout of renewable energy, but also offering the prospect of lowering customers’ energy bills. Big batteries, whose costs are plunging, are leading the way. But a host of other technologies, from existing schemes like splitting water to create hydrogen, compressing air in underground caverns, flywheels and heated gravel pits, to longer term bets like supercapacitors and superconducting magnets, are also jostling for position. Read full article.

Wednesday, March 09, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Key resistance lies just overhead in stocks.

Tuesday, March 08, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. The rally seems to have eliminated the bearishness and paved the way to the downside.

Monday, March 07, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Is the commodity bear market over now?

Bring the SAVE Benefits Act to the floor of the United States Senate for a vote

Tens of millions of Americans rely on Social Security for a majority of their income, but this year – for just the fourth time in the history of the program – beneficiaries didn’t receive a cost of living adjustment. Meanwhile, CEO pay has continued to skyrocket.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren has introduced a bill called the Seniors and Veterans Emergency Benefits Act (SAVE Benefits Act)1 that would give seniors, veterans, people with disabilities and surviving spouses who rely on Social Security a one-time payment of $580 to help make ends meet. It would be paid for by closing a loophole that subsidizes excessive CEO pay.

In a few days, Sen. Warren, Sen. Chuck Schumer and progressive groups will be delivering the signatures on this petition to Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. Add your name to the petition now to help build pressure on Sen. McConnell to allow a vote on the bill.

Tell Majority Leader Mitch McConnell: Allow a vote on the SAVE Benefits Act. Click here to sign the petition.

In October, the Social Security Administration announced that there would not be an automatic increase in Social Security benefits in 2016, as there is in most years.2 Right now, the average Social Security benefit is less than $15,000 per year – and many of the tens of millions of Americans who rely on Social Security to get by desperately need a raise.

Meanwhile, CEO pay at the 350 biggest firms in the U.S. now averages more than $16 million per year – over 1,000 times more than the average Social Security benefit. In 2014, the last year for which data is available, these CEOs saw their pay increase by 3.9 percent. Incredibly, much of this compensation slips through the so-called “performance pay” loophole, which allows corporations to deduct CEO pay from their taxable income as long as it is based on performance.

The SAVE Benefits Act addresses both of these problems at once by providing a one-time $580 Social Security payment that is paid for by eliminating this egregious loophole. It’s a smart bill that will give a much-needed raise to our seniors and veterans instead of wealthy CEOs.

But Sen. McConnell has so far refused to allow a vote on the SAVE Benefits Act. That’s why Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Sen. Schumer and progressive groups are organizing a big petition delivery this week. Add your name to our petition now to make sure it is included in the delivery.

Tell Majority Leader Mitch McConnell: Allow a vote on the SAVE Benefits Act. Click here to sign the petition.

Sunday, March 06, 2016

By Century's End, Some Parts of Earth Will Be Uninhabitable

James Hansen, noted climate scientist who warned us decades ago of the dangers of fossil fuels, now suggests that we are on track to make parts of our planet uninhabitable by the end of this century:

The tropics and the Middle East in summer are in danger of becoming practically uninhabitable by the end of the century if business-as-usual fossil fuel emissions continue, because wet bulb temperature could approach the level at which the human body is unable to cool itself under even well-ventilated outdoor conditions. Lesser warming still makes life more difficult and reduces productivity in these regions, because temperatures are approaching the limit of human tolerance and both agricultural and construction work are mainly outdoor activities. Middle latitude countries have a near optimum average temperature for work productivity, while warmer countries such as Indonesia, India and Nigeria are on a steep slope with rapidly declining productivity as temperature rises (see Fig. 2 of Burke et al., 2015).

Warming and climate effects are not uniform within the regions that we illustrate. In the U.S., e.g., warming is largest in the Southwest, consistent with expected amplified warming in dry subtropical regions. Similarly summer warming is amplified in the Mediterranean and Middle East region, where at minimum it intensifies drought conditions such as those of Syria in recent years, if not being a principal cause of the drought.

Results for additional individual nations are available at www.columbia.edu/~mhs119/CO2Emissions/.

Human health is affected by higher temperature via impacts on heat waves, drought, fires, floods and storms, and indirectly by ecological disruptions brought on by climate change including shifting patterns of disease (see Chapter 11 of IPCC, 2014, and references therein). Vector-borne diseases, usually involving infections transmitted by blood-sucking mosquitoes or ticks, can spread to higher latitudes and greater altitudes as global war

In an assembly of 60 quantitative studies covering all major world regions, it is found that interpersonal violence increases by 4% and intergroup conflict by 14% for each standard deviation increase of temperature. Such findings do not constitute natural laws, but they provide a useful empirical estimate of impacts of temperature change.

Human health is affected by higher temperature via impacts on heat waves, drought, fires, floods and storms, and indirectly by ecological disruptions brought on by climate change including shifting patterns of disease (see Chapter 11 of IPCC, 2014, and references therein). Vector-borne diseases, usually involving infections transmitted by blood-sucking mosquitoes or ticks, can spread to higher latitudes and greater altitudes as global warming increases.

National responsibilities for global warming can be assigned because fossil fuel CO2 is the main cause of long-term warming. Deforestation and agricultural activities contribute to airborne CO2, but restoration of soil and biosphere carbon is possible via improved agricultural and forestry practices and, indeed that is required if climate is to be stabilized. In contrast, fossil fuel carbon will not be removed from the climate system for millennia. Other trace gases contribute to climate change, but CO2 causes 80% of the increase of greenhouse gas climate forcing in the past two decades and much of the other 20% is related to fossil fuel mining or fossil fuel use.

Climate change is accurately proportional to cumulative CO2 emissions (Fig. 3a). The U.S. and Europe are each responsible for more than a quarter of cumulative emissions, China for about 10% and India 3%. The disparity between developed and developing country emissions is even greater with consumption-based accounting of emissions. Even without consumption-based accounting, the per capita emissions of the U.S. and Europe are at least an order of magnitude greater than most developing countries.

There is thus a striking incongruity between locations of largest climate change and responsibility for fossil fuel emissions. Largest bell curve shifts are in tropical rainforest, Southeast Asia, the Sahara and Sahel, where fossil fuel emissions are very small. Climate change is also large in the Middle East, where emissions are large and rapidly growing, with several nations having higher per capita emissions than the United States (see paper).

Discussion. We conclude that continued business-as-usual fossil fuel emissions will begin to make low latitudes inhospitable. If accompanied by multi-meter sea level rise, resulting forced migration and economic disruption could be devastating.

Even global warming as small as 2°C, sometimes called a safe guardrail, may have large effects. Bell curve shifts shown for 2005-2015 result from global warming of ~0.6°C relative to 1951-80. Thus 2°C warming relative to pre-industrial (1.7°C relative to 1951-1980) will result in bell curve shifts and climate impacts about three times greater than those that have occurred already. Global warming of 2°C is expected to cause sea level rise of several meters, leading to inference that the potential sea level rise this century is dangerous.

The overall message that climate science delivers to society, policymakers, and the public alike is this: we have a global emergency. Fossil fuel CO2 emissions should be reduced as rapidly as practical. We argue that country-by-country goals, the approach of the 21st Conference of the Parties cannot lead to rapid phasedown of fossil fuel emissions, as long as fossil fuels are allowed to be the cheapest energy. It will be necessary to include a carbon fee that allows the external costs of fossil fuels to be incorporated in their price. Border duties on products from countries without a carbon fee, would lead to most nations adopting a carbon fee.

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes #WeekendAnalysis reports have been updated on the website. Correction dead ahead for stocks.

Saturday, March 05, 2016

Danielle Fong: Co-Founder of LightSail Energy


Danielle Fong is passionate about finding a solution to energy sustainability. "I have patience with people but not with systems" and her life choices proves this. With guidance and advice from fellow contemporary innovators like Steve Jobs she continued to follow her vision of finding the missing technology -something she instinctively felt- to conserve energy.

Self-described as ‘a girl from the future’, the 27-year-old Canadian innovator, entrepreneur and eco-pragmatist has been featured in Forbes' 30 under 30 in the category of Energy & Industry, as well as interviewed by Forbes.com in a video entitled "Danielle Fong May Save the World". She has also been named as one of the “Top 35 Innovators under 35” by the MIT Technology Review. Left junior high school at the age of 12 to attend Dalhousie University, graduated with first class honors in computer science and physics, then entered the Plasma Physics Department at Princeton University as a PhD student. She went on to co-found LightSail Energy, where she currently works as “Chief Science Officer” developing a form of compressed air energy storage. Danielle works actively to mentor and inspire entrepreneurship and invention in hard technology, working as a mentor. She tours extensively, speaking on behalf of invention and the environment, and publishes essays at www.daniellefong.com.

This talk was given at a TEDx event using the TED conference format but independently organized by a local community. Learn more at http://ted.com/tedx

Thursday, March 03, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Overbought stocks have almost reached our price target of SPX 2000.

Tuesday, March 01, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Nice Head and Shoulders patterns point toward reversals to the downside in stocks.

Monday, February 29, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. The countertrend rally is getting long in the tooth now.

Sunday, February 28, 2016

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. While it's a bear market, a substantial percentage of stocks remain in uptrends.

Friday, February 26, 2016

Electric vehicles could be as cheap as gas-guzzlers soon

Tesla shares have been on a tear lately. Buyers are pouring money into the stock at a great rate as our Money Flow indicator shows: Electric vehicles could be as cheap as gas-guzzlers soon:

With gas prices at less than $2 a gallon, it may be hard to imagine trading in the old combustion engine for an electric vehicle, but according to new analysis by Bloomberg New Energy Finance, the age of the EV could be just around the corner.

The study published on Thursday predicts that battery prices — which have already fallen 35 percent in the past year — will continue to drop steeply in the coming years. By the 2020s, EVs could be just as affordable as, if not cheaper than, gas-powered vehicles. Sales of EVs, according to the report, will make up nearly 35 percent of market by 2040.

Thirty-five percent is huge growth considering that today EVs sales make up less than 3 percent of the market. Manufacturers are certainly taking notice: Chevy, Nissan, Fiat, Ford, Volkswagen, and Mitsubishi all currently have EVs on the market in the $30,000 range — and if price isn’t your main concern, you can always buy luxury EVs from BMW, Mercedes, or Tesla.

The growth of the electric vehicle does not bode well for the oil market, which is already suffering from crude oil prices as low as $30 a barrel. As Bloomberg News points out, “electric vehicles could displace oil demand of 2 million barrels a day as early as 2023. That would create a glut of oil equivalent to what triggered the 2014 oil crisis.”

But while the death of Big Oil is undoubtedly good for the planet, what exactly are the environmental costs of the electric vehicle? They don’t run on air, after all: The electricity powering your EV has to come from somewhere, and depending on where you live, that “somewhere” could mean coal-fired power plants. The good news is that a 2015 report from the Union of Concerned Scientists found that in U.S., EVs emit less than half the greenhouse gases than gas-guzzlers do on average, even when you account for the manufacturing process. But, as Mother Jones reports, the materials used to make EV batteries introduce other problems: Cobalt mining has been linked to child labor, and lithium mining linked to water pollution and depletion.

So, the electric vehicle can’t entirely assuage the conscientious driver’s guilt. But there’s always another choice beyond either gassing up or hitting the power station every couple hundred miles. It’s not for everyone, but for those of us who can make it work, there is a greater option, a greener option. It’s efficient, inexpensive, and already on the road. That’s right — the humble, old city bus.

Read original ....

Thursday, February 25, 2016

Bloomberg Predicts Electric Cars Will Cause Next Oil Crash

Bloomberg predicts that by 2023, more people will be driving electric, which will cause the demand for oil to drop by 2,000,000 barrels a day. When that happens, it says there will be another crash in oil prices. Read more...

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Why stocks are acting like little puppy dogs now.

Wednesday, February 24, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Oil leads the way on the downside, then the upside.

Tuesday, February 23, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Does platinum lead gold? We look at history for evidence tonight.

NIRP Coming Soon? (Video)

Can you imagine a retirement fund that earns less than 0%?

Negative interest rates may soon arrive in the United States—which means you could be “taxed” on previously interest-paying investments, such as CDs, savings accounts, and US government bonds.

Several European countries, the ECB, and now Japan have already established a NIRP (negative interest rate policy).

Fed heads from Janet Yellen to Stanley Fischer have stated they may be in favor of it if the economic situation in the US “warranted” it… which, as we all know, could mean anything.

Two of Mauldin Economics’ top editors—Tony Sagami and Jared Dillian—sat down for a video interview to discuss their thoughts on the possible advent of NIRP:

Monday, February 22, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. NIRP is coming and will bring big changes to the economy, including crminalizing the holding of cash.

Sunday, February 21, 2016

Last week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes #WeekendAnalysis have been updated on the website. More rally ahead for equities this week, but dip first.

Thursday, February 18, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Investors, not trusting the stock market, decided to patch up the piggy bank today.

Wednesday, February 17, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Where are investors pulling funds to buy stocks again? The bond market!

Tuesday, February 16, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Equities get a bid, but can they hold the trend for long?

Monday, February 15, 2016

Elon Musk on the Coming Population Implosion (Video)

What Markets Are Telling Us

By Ron Paul
Last week US stock markets tumbled yet again, leaving the Dow Jones index down almost 1500 points for the year. In fact, most major world markets are in negative territory this year. There are many Wall Street cheerleaders who are trying to say that this is just a technical correction, that the bottom is near, and that everything will be getting better soon. They are ignoring the real message the markets are trying to send: you cannot print your way to prosperity.
People throughout history have always sought to acquire wealth. Most of them understand that it takes hard work, sacrifice, savings, and investment. But many are always looking for that "get rich quick" scheme. Monetary cranks throughout history have thought that just printing more money would result in greater wealth and prosperity. Every time this was tried it resulted in failure. Huge economic booms would be followed by even larger busts. But no matter how many times the cranks were debunked both in theory and practice, the same failed ideas kept coming back.
The intellectual descendants of those monetary cranks are now leading the world's central banks, which is why the last decade has seen an explosion of money creation. And what do the central bankers have to show for it? Lackluster employment numbers that have not kept up with population growth, increasing economic inequality, a rising cost of living, and constant fear and uncertainty about what the future holds.
The past decade has been a lot like the 1920s, when prices wanted to drop but the Federal Reserve kept the price level steady through injections of easy money into the economy. The result in the 1920s was the Great Depression. But in the 1920s prices were dropping because of increased production. More goods being produced meant lower prices, which the Fed then tried to prop up by printing money. Unlike the "Roaring 20s" however, the economy isn't quite as strong today. It's more of a gasp than a roar.
Production today is barely above 2007 levels, while heavily-indebted households already hurt during the financial crisis don't want to keep spending. The bad debts and mal-investments from the last Federal Reserve-induced boom were never liquidated, they were merely papered over with more easy money. The underlying economic fundamentals remain weak but the monetary cranks who run the Fed keep trying to pump more and more money into the system. They fail to realize that easy money is the cause, not the cure, of recessions and depressions. They didn't realize that prices needed to drop in order to clear all the bad debt and mal-investments out of the system. Because they don't realize that, we are on the verge of yet another financial crisis.
Don't be confused by any stock market rallies over the next few months and think that the worst is over. Remember that after Black Tuesday in 1929 the Dow Jones rallied over the next year before it began slowly and steadily to sink again. The central bankers will do everything they can to delay the inevitable. If they had allowed housing prices to fall in 2008 and hadn't bailed out the big Wall Street banks, the economy would have corrected itself. Yes, it would have been a severe correction, but it would have been nothing compared to the inevitable correction that will present itself when the Fed runs out of easy money options. The Fed may try to cut interest rates again, maybe even going negative, or it will do more quantitative easing, but that won't work. Creating more money does not lead to economic growth and well-being. The more money the Federal Reserve creates, the more ordinary Americans will end up suffering.
Copyright © 2016 by RonPaul Institute. Permission to reprint in whole or in part is gladly granted, provided full credit ad a live link are given.

Sunday, February 14, 2016

What We Knew 36 Years Ago

We knew of the problems caused by Global Warming a long time ago:

Clearly, we are making the same mistake Noah warned us about.

BP's Self-Serving Energy Outlook

When you ask a large fossil fuel extractor like BP (didn't they tell us BP stood for “Beyond Petroleum?”) what the future will look like, of course you get what they want you to see. Steve Hanley writes in BP Energy Outlook Sees The World Through Oil Colored Glasses:

The BP report expects renewables to account for only 9% of the world’s total energy needs by 2035. That is far lower than many proponents of alternative energy anticipate. Bloomberg New Energy Finance and the International Renewable Energy Agency both predict renewable energy could supply as much as 30% of global energy demand by 2030, especially if the accords reached in Paris are implemented by major emissions sources like the US, China, and India.

“This is a story of how an oil and gas company predicts the rosy prospects of oil and gas companies,” explained Greg Muttitt of Oil Change International. “BP would like us to believe that government action on climate will fail, that clean technologies will fizzle, and that the future of energy will still be based on the carbon fuels of the past.

“Every year, BP has predicted that the growth in renewable energy will slow down, and each time it has been wrong. This year, again it massively downplays renewables, estimating they will provide a mere 15% of world electricity in 2030 – in spite of wind and solar achieving grid parity in most of the world, and in spite of government action arising from the Paris Agreement.”

“Dressed in a veneer of concern about climate change, in fact BP’s outlook is a public relations exercise, designed to boost fossil fuels and undermine public faith in clean alternatives. Meanwhile it deflects responsibility to government or to coal companies, to distract from its own extraction of oil and gas. This is not a credible view of the future of energy.”

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

A preliminary version of #SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. We'll have more later on Sunday.

Thursday, February 11, 2016

Entering the Belly of the Epocalypse

David Haggith writes:

Only a couple of weeks ago, I said we were entering the jaws of the Epocalypse. Now we are sliding rapidly down the great beast’s throat toward its cavernous belly. The biggest economic collapse the world has ever seen is consuming everything — all commodities, all industries, all national economies, all monetary systems, and eventually all peace and stability. This is the mother of all recessions.

That’s a big statement to swallow, especially when many don’t see the beast because we’re already inside of it. You need to look down from 100,000 feet up in order to observe the scale of this monster that is rising up out of the sea and to see how rapidly it is enveloping the globe and how the world’s collapse into its throat is accelerating. The belly of this leviathan is a swirling black hole, composed of all the word’s debts, that is large enough to swallow every economy on earth.

Mexican retail billionaire Hugo Salinas Price has looked long into the stomach of this mammoth, and this is what he has seen:

 

[Global] debt [as a percentage of GDP] peaked in August of 2014. I’ve been watching this for 20 years, and I have never seen anything like it. It was always growing, and now something has changed. A big change of this sort is an enormous event. I think it portends a new trend, and that trend will be to get out of debt. Deleverage and pay down debt. That is, of course, a contraction. Contraction means depression. The world is going into a depression. It’s going to get very nasty. (USAWatchdog)

 

So, let’s step back and look at the big picture in order to see how immense this thing is: (One thing that you’ll notice is common in the statements of many sources below is comparisons to 2008, when we first entered the Great Recession. You hear that comparison every day now, which says many people feel that, after piling on trillions of dollars and trillions of euros and trillions of ___ in debt to save ourselves, we are right back where we started … but exhausted from the effort.)

Continue reading...

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. What does the dog do after he catches the car he was chasing?

Wednesday, February 10, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. It's your Crazy Ex-Bull Market, isn't it?

Tuesday, February 09, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. NASDAQ held a key support trendline on Tuesday, but oil remains a bearish force.

Monday, February 08, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Is the bear market taking any prisoners?

Sunday, February 07, 2016

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. We will publish our #WeekendAnalysis report later today.

Thursday, February 04, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Employment Report should be a market force Friday morning. Be very careful.

Was the Republican Primary in Iowa Rigged?

Scott Adams makes a very good case for the Iowa primary to have been rigged to stop Trump. In News Flash: Cartoonist Gets One Wrong!, Adams says,

I’m not saying the vote in Iowa was rigged. I’m just saying the result is exactly the same as what one would expect from a well-engineered and rigged election. But that could be a coincidence.

Now consider motive and opportunity. Lots of people in both of the major parties want to stop Trump. And the GOP establishment is probably betting on Rubio as their best hope. Suspects are everywhere.

As for opportunity, the Iowa caucus system was designed and implemented by humans. Wherever you have humans, you have problems. Hedge funds are crooks, priests are molesting kids, and that sort of thing.

As I have said in prior blog posts, the stock market is definitely rigged. I say that with certainty simply because it is possible, the risk of detection is low, and the gains are enormous. Whenever you see that combination, crime is guaranteed.

The Iowa caucus might be an exception to the universal law of human awfulness. We can hope that is the case. But keep in mind that it would only take one player to rig the result.

Now consider that a healthy percentage of the American public believes Donald Trump is literally a Hitler-in-waiting. If an American patriot in Iowa had a chance to take down Hitler and save billions of lives, I hope he or she took the shot. That’s what I expect of my fellow-citizens. 

As a thought experiment, put yourself in the shoes of an Iowan who has the opportunity to rig the Republican caucus vote. You alone might have the power to stop Trump-Hitler. If you don’t, the next Holocaust is on you. 

What do you do?

As an American and a patriot, I hope you rigged the election to save us all from Hitler. If you didn’t take the shot when you had it, why not? If I were in that situation – and I believed in my heart that I could stop Hitler – I would feel obligated to do it. How could you feel otherwise?

And if I were a GOP establishment person who just wanted to keep the military-industrial machine intact, I would have that motive as well. 

I’m not saying the Republican caucus in Iowa was rigged. All I’m saying is that the result looks exactly like it was rigged, and the people who had the opportunity had the best motive in the history of all motives. You might say they had the mother of all motives and a few aunts of motives as well. 

As I was having these thoughts last night, some folks on Twitter mentioned that Republicans were using a new Microsoft app to tally results. Apparently that system was a bit buggy. Microsoft provided the system for free. 

Oh, and Microsoft is Rubio’s biggest donor

Wednesday, February 03, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. It was a Wednesday Turnaround for oil and it pulled commodities higher.

Tuesday, February 02, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Fossil fuels pulled the plug in the stock market as gasoline plunged below a buck a gallon.

Monday, February 01, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. After Accumulation Lows on many Volume Oscillators, new uptrends are trying to get started in equities.

Sunday, January 31, 2016

Is Congress Declaring War on ISIS…or on You?

By Ron Paul (Read online at http://bit.ly/1nWPSsg)

Passage of Senator Mitch McConnell’s authorization for war against ISIS will not only lead to perpetual US wars across the globe, it will also endanger our civil and economic liberties. The measure allows the president to place troops anywhere he determines ISIS is operating. Therefore, it could be used to justify using military force against United States citizens on US territory. It may even be used to justify imposing martial law in America.

The President does not have to deploy the US military to turn America into a militarized police state, however. He can use his unlimited authority to expand programs that turn local police forces into adjuncts of the US military, and send them increasing amounts of military equipment. Using the threat of ISIS to justify increased police militarization will be enthusiastically supported by police unions, local officials, and, of course, politically-powerful defense contractors. The only opposition will come from citizens whose rights have been violated by a militarized police force that views the people as the enemy.

Even though there is no evidence that the government’s mass surveillance programs have prevented even a single terrorist attack, we are still continuously lectured about how we must sacrifice our liberty for security. The cries for the government to take more of our privacy will grow louder as the war party and its allies in the media continue to hype the threat of terrorism. A president armed with the authority to do whatever it takes to stop ISIS will no doubt heed these calls for new restrictions on our privacy.

Following last year’s mass shooting in California, President Obama called for restricting the Second Amendment rights of any American on the “terrorist watch list.” The president also used the attacks to expand the unconstitutional gun background check system via executive action. Can anyone doubt that President Obama — or a future anti-gun president — will use the absolute power to do whatever is necessary to stop terrorism as a justification for imposing new gun control measures? Using the war on ISIS to justify more gun control will be particularly attractive since even many pro-gun politicians will support gun control measures if they are marketed as part of the war on terror.

As the American economy faces continued stagnation, and as challenges to the dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency mount, an increasingly authoritarian government will impose new restrictions on our economic activities and new limits on our financial privacy. In particular, our ability to move assets out of the country will be limited, and new reporting and other requirements will limit our ability to use cash without being treated as criminals or terrorists. Those who carry large amounts of cash will find themselves at increased risk of having the cash confiscated by government agents under civil asset forfeiture laws.

If Senator McConnell’s declaration of perpetual war passes, presidents could use the war on ISIS as a justification to impose new restrictions on our use of cash and our financial privacy via executive action. After all, they will say, the government needs to make sure cash is not being used to support ISIS.

The only way to protect both liberty and security is to stop trying to impose our will on other countries by military force. The resentment created by America's militaristic foreign policy is ISIS’ most effective recruiting tool. Adopting a non-interventionist foreign policy that seeks peace and free trade with all would enable the government to counter legitimate threats to our safety without creating an authoritarian police state.

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes #WeekendAnalysis have been updated on the website. Buy signals are popping up like spring flowers.

Thursday, January 28, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Groundhog Day is looking to be a significant change-in-trend day.

Tuesday, January 26, 2016

Tuesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Why the most precious metal isn't bullish for a gold bull market yet.

Monday, January 25, 2016

Monday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. ABC rally in equities now underway, but now in the middle down part.

Sunday, January 24, 2016

Last Week's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes #WeekendAnalysis PDF have been updated on the website. The dead rat bounce should continue!

Thursday, January 21, 2016

Thursday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Stocks still on track to start a bear market rally next week.

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

Wednesday's Results In The Wall Street Bucket Shops

#SubscriberNotes have been updated on the website. Stocks are telegraphing they want to bottom soon.

The Fed is Sucking the Lifeblood Out of the Economy

When the Fed decided last month to raise the Fed Funds rate from 0% to ¼%, most commentators pointed out the insignificance of a ¼% rate hike. But, when you think about it, that's an infinite percentage increase in the rate. This point is important because the Fed has to drain liquidity from the banking system in order to keep the rate at ¼%. E.D. Skyrm, managing director of Wedbush Securities estimates the Fed needs to drain between $310 billion and $800 billion in liquidity to achieve this.

The Fed does this through “reverse repos,” which means it sells Treasury bonds to banks and receives payment via the bank’s reserves. In short, it amounts to decreasing the amount of liquidity in the banking system.

In other words, the gang of lawyers who run the Fed has decided to suck the lifeblood out of the economy in order to raise interest rates from zero to ¼%. The effect so far is that the stock market is crashing and jobs will follow, circling the drain on the way down. This is exactly the same stupidity the Fed pulled in 1937 in the middle of the Great Depression: they crashed both the stock market and the economy and prolonged the depression for another decade. In fact, their actions almost certainly resulted in Germany starting World War II. That shouldn't have happened and the only we can ensure that we don't go through this cycle again is to END THE FED.